Sunday, December 4, 2016

Blue Through and Through Rankings: Week 14

Head-to-head matchups among teams with equal records is the easiest way to decide which team is better.  When there are "round robin defeats"; i.e. team A beats team B, and team B beats team C, but team C beats team A (each team has a 1-1 record against the others), ranking reverts to most impressive wins vs. least impressive losses.  This situation occurred this week in both the SEC (Auburn, LSU, A&M, Florida) and the Pac-12 (USC, Colorado, Stanford).

Temple, Air Force, Navy, Houston, Louisville and Florida State have to be ranked in that order since Temple and Air Force beat Navy, Navy beat Houston, Houston beat Louisville and Louisville beat Florida State.  All have the same number of losses.  Since Air Force has three bad losses, the four-loss teams ahead of them debut in the Top 25, and the teams above behind Navy must take their place behind the Falcons.

The Pac-12 and the SEC are the biggest beneficiaries of the head-to-head matchups above. Tennessee, Utah and Washington State are all more impressive than Air Force.

Because of these rankings, the difference between #2 Ohio State and #3 Washington is now much closer.  Both have four Top 25 wins and only one loss to a Top 10 team.



(Note:  the rankings are based on logic rather than hype or potential.  Teams with the same record are judged by their biggest wins and their losses, if any.  Impressive wins over Top 25 teams are more important than other wins, and losses to Top 25 teams hurt far less than other losses.

The "Biggest Win" refers to the highest-ranked win; generally, only ranked teams and teams being considered are listed.  Sometimes, as in the case of Western Michigan, they don't have a win over teams in these rankings, and it is unknown at this time which of their listed wins is the biggest.)

1-1    Alabama (13-0) whipped Florida 54-16; Biggest Wins: #10 USC 52-6, #15 Auburn 30-12, #16 LSU 10-0, #22 Texas A&M 33-14, #23 Tennessee 49-10 and  Florida 54-16,
2-2    Ohio State (11-1) did not play; Biggest Wins: #4 Michigan 30-27 in two overtimes, #6 Oklahoma 45-24, #9 Wisconsin 30-23 in overtime and #17 Nebraska 62-3; Lost to #7 Penn State 24-21
3-3   Washington (12-1) demolished #11 Colorado 41-10; Biggest Wins: #11 Colorado 41-10, #12 Stanford 44-6, #24 Utah 31-24 and #25 Washington State 45-17; Lost to #10 USC 26-13
4-4   Michigan (10-2) did not play; Biggest Wins: #7 Penn State 49-10, #9 Wisconsin 14-7 and #11 Colorado 45-28; Lost to #2 Ohio State 30-27 in two overtimes and Iowa 14-13
6-5   Clemson (12-1) defeated Virginia Tech 42-35; Biggest Wins: #15 Auburn 19-13, Louisville 42-36, Florida State 37-34 and Virginia Tech 42-35; Lost to Pittsburgh 43-42
10-6 Oklahoma (10-2) downed #19 Oklahoma State 38-20:  Biggest Wins:  #13 West Virginia 55-28, #19 Oklahoma State 38-20 and #20 Kansas State 38-17; Lost to #1 Ohio State 45-24 and Houston 33-23
9-7 Penn State (10-2)  upset #9 Wisconsin 38-31; Biggest Wins:  #2 Ohio State 24-21, #9 Wisconsin 38-31 and Temple 34-27; Lost to #4 Michigan 49-10 and Pittsburgh 42-39
7-8   Western Michigan (13-0) escaped with a 29-23 win over Ohio; Biggest Win: Toledo 55-35
5-9   Wisconsin (10-3) lost to #7 Penn State 38-31; Biggest Wins:  #16 LSU 16-14 and #17 Nebraska 23-17 in overtime; Lost to  #2 Ohio State 30-23 in overtime, #4 Michigan 14-7 and #7 Penn State 38-31
16-10 USC (9-3) did not play; Biggest Wins:  #3 Washington 26-13 and #11 Colorado 21-17; Lost to #1 Alabama 52-6, #12 Stanford 27-10 and #24 Utah 31-27
8-11 Colorado (10-3) lost to #3 Washington 41-10; Biggest Wins:  #24 Utah 27-22 and #25 Washington State 38-24; Lost to #3 Washington 41-10, #4 Michigan 45-28 and #10 USC 21-17
15-12 Stanford (9-3) was idle; Biggest Wins:  #10 USC 27-10 and #20 Kansas State 26-13; Lost to #3 Washington 44-6, #11 Colorado 10-5 and #25 Washington State 42-16
14-13  West Virginia (10-2) edged Baylor 24-21; Biggest Wins: #20 Kansas State 17-16 and BYU 35-32; Lost to #6 Oklahoma 56-28 and #19 Oklahoma State 37-20
11-14 South Florida (10-2) did not play; Biggest Win: Navy 52-45; Lost to #21 Temple 46-30 and Florida State 55-35 
17-15 Auburn (8-4) was off this week;  Biggest Win:  #16 LSU 18-13 ; Lost to #1 Alabama 30-12, #5 Clemson 19-13, #22 Texas A&M 29-16 and Georgia 13-7
18-16 LSU (7-4) did not play; Biggest Win:  #22 Texas A&M 54-39;  Lost to #1 Alabama 10-0, #9 Wisconsin 16-14, #15 Auburn 18-13 and Florida 16-10 
19-17  Nebraska (9-3) was idle; Biggest Win: Wyoming 52-17; Lost to #2 Ohio State 62-3, #9 Wisconsin 23-17 in overtime and Iowa 40-10
25-18 Boise State (10-2) was idle; Biggest Wins:  #25 Washington State 31-28 and BYU 28-27; Lost to Wyoming 30-28 and Air Force 27-20
13-19 Oklahoma State (9-3) lost to #6 Oklahoma 38-20; Biggest Wins:  #13 West Virginia 37-20 and #20 Kansas State 43-37; Lost to #6 Oklahoma 38-20, Baylor 35-24 and Central Michigan 30-27
-----20 Kansas State (8-4) ran over TCU 30-6; Biggest Win:  TCU 30-6; Lost to #6 Oklahoma 38-17, #11 West Virginia 17-16, #12 Stanford 26-13 and #18 Oklahoma State 43-37
-----21 Temple (10-3) sank Navy 34-10; Beat #14 South Florida 46-30 and Navy 34-10; Lost to #7 Penn State 34-27, Army 28-13 and Memphis 34-27
24-22 Texas A&M (8-4) was idle; Biggest Wins: #15 Auburn 29-16 and Tennessee 45-38 in two overtimes; Lost to #1 Alabama 33-14, #16 LSU 54-39, Mississippi 29-28 and Mississippi State 35-28 
-----23 Tennessee (8-4) did not play; Biggest Wins: Virginia Tech 45-24 and Florida 38-28; Lost to #1 Alabama 49-10, #22 Texas A&M 45-38 in 2 OT's, Vanderbilt 45-34 and South Carolina 24-21
-----24 Utah (8-4) was idle this week; Biggest Win: #10 USC 31-27; Lost to #3 Washington 31-24, #11 Colorado 27-22, Oregon 30-28 and California 28-23
-----25 Washington State (8-4) was off this week; Biggest Win:  #12 Stanford 42-16; Lost to #3 Washington 45-17, #11 Colorado 38-24, #18 Boise State 31-28 and Eastern Washington 45-42





Dropped Out:  Virginia Tech, Florida, Florida State, Navy, Houston, Louisville


Also Considered:

Air Force (9-3) did not play; Biggest Wins:  #18 Boise State 27-20 and Navy 28-14; Lost to Wyoming 35-26, New Mexico 45-40 and Hawai'i 34-27
Navy (9-3) lost to #21 Temple 34-10; Biggest Win:  Houston 45-40; Lost to #14 South Florida 52-45, #21Temple 34-10 and Air Force 28-14 
Houston (9-3) did not play; Biggest Wins: #6 Oklahoma 33-23 and Louisville; Lost to Navy 45-40, Memphis 48-44 and SMU 38-16
Louisville (9-3) was off this week; Biggest Win: Florida State 63-20; Lost to #5 Clemson 42-36, Houston 36-10 and Kentucky 41-38
Florida State (8-3) did not play; Biggest Wins:  #14 South Florida 55-35 and Florida 31-13; Lost to #5 Clemson 37-34, Louisville 63-20 and North Carolina 37-35
BYU (8-4) was idle; Biggest Win:  Toledo 55-53; Lost to #13 West Virginia 35-32, #18 Boise State 28-27, #24 Utah 20-19 and UCLA 17-14
Florida (8-4) fell to #1 Alabama 54-16; Biggest Win: #16 LSU 16-10; Lost to #1 Alabama 54-16, Florida State 31-13, Tennessee 38-28 and Arkansas 31-10
Virginia Tech (9-4) lost to #5 Clemson 42-35;  Biggest Win:  North Carolina 34-3; Lost to #5 Clemson 42-35, Tennessee 45-24, Georgia Tech 30-20 and Syracuse 31-17
Iowa (8-4) did not play; Biggest Wins:  #3 Michigan 14-13 and #17 Nebraska 40-10; Lost to #7 Penn State 41-14, #9 Wisconsin 17-9, Northwestern 38-31 and North Dakota State 23-21
Tulsa (9-3) did not play; Biggest Win:  Memphis 59-30; Lost to #2 Ohio State 48-3, Navy 42-40 and Houston 38-31

No comments:

Post a Comment