Sunday, November 27, 2016

Blue Through and Through College Football Rankings--Week 13

What a week!  The great thing about the end of the season is that it brings clarity that wasn't there at any point in the season.  After a slew of upsets and losses by teams in the Top 25 and being considered, it wasn't so much how much a team would drop, but who deserves to replace them?  In most weeks, Boise State, Houston and Louisville would have dropped out, but the only non-ranked two-loss team (Troy) has a horrible loss, and the other teams vying to move in have three or four losses and either don't have a big win or have two or more bad losses.

Washington finally climbed the mountain past two solid teams, Michigan and Wisconsin, as USC continued to win.  Their only loss is to USC (which is now ranked) while Michigan lost to a team being considered.  


Colorado is ranked behind Wisconsin because, even though their losses look better, they have not beaten a ranked team while the Badgers have knocked off two of them.  Penn State is ranked behind Colorado because of a bad loss, which hurts a team more than a big win helps them.  The Nittany Lions knocked off the #2 team, but they have that loss to Pittsburgh, while both of Colorado's losses are to ranked teams.  Oklahoma cannot make the same argument against Colorado because the Sooners only have one impressive win to two for the Buffaloes.

Oklahoma was freed to move up when Houston lost their third game.  Up to this point, the Cougars had to be ahead of the Sooners since they had the same record and Houston beat them on the field.  

We have so many head-to-head results within the Top 25 that it is easy now to rank them.  For teams with worse records that own head-to-head wins, they can't make the same argument because they slipped up elsewhere and have more losses:

Michigan beat Penn State and has to be ranked ahead of them.

Oklahoma beat West Virginia and has to be above them.

South Florida beat Navy and must be ranked above them.

Oklahoma State topped West Virginia and thus must be ahead of them.

Stanford beat USC and must be ahead of them.

Auburn beat LSU and thus must be above them.

Houston defeated Louisville and must be ranked ahead of them.

Louisville beat Florida State and has to be ahead.

Florida State beat Florida over the weekend and must be ranked ahead.


(Note:  the rankings are based on logic rather than hype or potential.  Teams with the same record are judged by their biggest wins and their losses, if any.  Impressive wins over Top 25 teams are more important than other wins, and losses to Top 25 teams hurt far less than other losses.

The "Biggest Win" refers to the highest-ranked win; generally, only ranked teams and teams being considered are listed.  Sometimes, as in the case of Western Michigan, they don't have a win over teams in these rankings, and it is unknown at this time which of their listed wins is the biggest.)

1-1    Alabama (12-0) took care of business to win the Iron Bowl over #17 Auburn 30-12; Biggest Wins: #17 Auburn 30-12, #18 LSU 10-0, Texas A&M 33-14 and Tennessee 49-10
2-2    Ohio State (11-1) came from behind to beat #4 Michigan 30-27 in two overtimes; Biggest Wins: #4 Michigan 30-27 in two overtimes, #5 Wisconsin 30-23 in overtime, #10 Oklahoma 45-24 and #19 Nebraska 62-3; Lost to #9 Penn State 24-21
6-3   Washington (11-1) rocked Washington State 45-17; Biggest Wins: Utah 31-24; and Washington State 45-17; Lost to #16 USC 26-13
3-4   Michigan (10-2) lost to #2 Ohio State 30-27 in two overtimes; Biggest Wins: #5 Wisconsin 14-7, #8 Colorado 45-28 and #9 Penn State 49-10 ; Lost to #2 Ohio State 30-27 in two overtimes and Iowa 14-13
4-5   Wisconsin (10-2) turned back Minnesota 31-17; Biggest Wins:  #18 LSU 16-14 and #19 Nebraska 23-17 in overtime; Lost to  #2 Ohio State 30-23 in overtime and #4 Michigan 14-7
5-6   Clemson (11-1) creamed South Carolina 56-7; Biggest Wins: #17 Auburn 19-13, #21 Louisville 42-36 and #23 Florida State 37-34; Lost to Pittsburgh 43-42
7-7   Western Michigan (12-0) outscored Toledo 55-35; Biggest Win: Toledo 55-35
16-8 Colorado (10-2) held off Utah 27-22; Biggest Wins:  Utah 27-22 and Washington State 38-24; Lost to #4 Michigan 45-28 and #16 USC 21-17
8-9 Penn State (9-2)  pummeled Michigan State 45-12; Biggest Win:  #2 Ohio State 24-21; Lost to #4 Michigan 49-10 and Pittsburgh 42-39
19-10 Oklahoma (8-2) did not play:  Biggest Win:  #14 West Virginia 55-28; Lost to #2 Ohio State 45-24 and #20 Houston 33-23
14-11 South Florida (10-2) outpointed UCF 48-31; Biggest Win: #12 Navy 52-45; Lost to #23 Florida State 55-35 and Temple 46-30
17-12 Navy (9-2) shattered SMU 75-31; Biggest Win:  #20 Houston 45-40; Lost to #11 South Florida 52-45 and Air Force 28-14 
21-13 Oklahoma State (9-2) was idle; Biggest Win:  #14 West Virginia 37-20; Lost to Baylor 35-24 and Central Michigan 30-27
22-14  West Virginia (9-2) annihilated Iowa State 49-19; Biggest Win: BYU 35-32; Lost to #10 Oklahoma 56-28 and #13 Oklahoma State 37-20
-----15 Stanford (9-3) boiled Rice 41-17; Biggest Win:  #16 USC 27-10; blown out by #5 Washington 44-6 and Washington State 42-16 and lost to #8 Colorado 10-5
-----16 USC (9-3) defeated Notre Dame 45-27; Biggest Wins:  #3 Washington 26-13 and #8 Colorado 21-17; Lost to #1 Alabama 52-6, #15 Stanford 27-10 and Utah 31-27
12-17 Auburn (8-4) lost to #1 Alabama 30-12;  Biggest Win:  #18 LSU 18-13 ; Lost to #1 Alabama 30-12, #6 Clemson 19-13, Texas A&M 29-16 and Georgia 13-7
23-18 LSU (7-4) topped Texas A&M 54-39; Biggest Win:  Texas A&M 54-39;  Lost to #1 Alabama 10-0, #5 Wisconsin 16-14, #17 Auburn 18-13 and #24 Florida 16-10 
9-19  Nebraska (9-3) was taught a lesson by Iowa 40-10; Biggest Win: Wyoming 52-17; Lost to #2 Ohio State 62-3, #5 Wisconsin 23-17 in overtime and Iowa 40-10
18-20 Houston (9-3) lost to Memphis 48-44; Biggest Wins: #11 Oklahoma 33-23 and #21 Louisville; Lost to #12 Navy 45-40, Memphis 48-44 and SMU 38-16

20-21 Louisville (9-3) lost to Kentucky 41-38; Biggest Win: #23 Florida State 63-20; Lost to #6 Clemson 42-36, #20 Houston 36-10 and Kentucky 41-38
24-22 Virginia Tech (9-3) wiped out Virginia 52-10;  Biggest Win:  North Carolina 34-3; Lost to Tennessee 45-24, Georgia Tech 30-20 and Syracuse 31-17
-----23 Florida State (8-3) ripped #24 Florida 31-13; Biggest Wins:  #11 South Florida 55-35 and #24 Florida 31-13; Lost to #6 Clemson 37-34, #21 Louisville 63-20 and North Carolina 37-35
13-24 Florida (8-3) fell to #23 Florida State 31-13; Biggest Win: #18 LSU 16-10; Lost to #23 Florida State 31-13, Tennessee 38-28 and Arkansas 31-10
10-25 Boise State (10-2) lost to Air Force 27-20; Biggest Wins:  Washington State 31-28 and BYU 28-27; Lost to Wyoming 30-28 and Air Force 27-20





Dropped Out:  Arkansas, Texas A&M and Tennessee


Also Considered:

Texas A&M (8-4) lost to #18 LSU 54-39; Biggest Wins: #17 Auburn 29-16 and Tennessee 45-38 in two overtimes; Lost to #1 Alabama 33-14, #18 LSU 54-39,  Mississippi 29-28 and Mississippi State 35-28
Tennessee (8-4) lost 45-34 to Vanderbilt; Biggest Wins: #20 Virginia Tech 45-24 and #24 Florida 38-28; Lost to #1 Alabama 49-10, Texas A&M 45-38 in 2 OT's, Vanderbilt 45-34 and South Carolina 24-21
Utah (8-4) lost to #8 Colorado 27-22; Biggest Win: #16 USC 31-27; Lost to #3 Washington 31-24, #8 Colorado 27-22, Oregon 30-28 and California 28-23
Air Force (7-3) upset #25 Boise State 27-20; Biggest Wins:  #12 Navy 28-14 and #25 Boise State 27-20; Lost to Wyoming 35-26, New Mexico 45-40 and Hawai'i 34-27
Washington State (8-4) lost to #3 Washington 45-17; Biggest Win:  #15 Stanford 42-16; Lost to #3 Washington 45-17, #8 Colorado 38-24, #25 Boise State 31-28 and Eastern Washington 45-42
BYU (8-4) beat Utah State 28-10; Biggest Win:  Toledo 55-53; Lost to #14 West Virginia 35-32, , #25 Boise State 28-27, Utah 20-19 and UCLA 17-14
Iowa (8-4) whipped #19 Nebraska 40-10; Biggest Wins:  #3 Michigan 14-13 and #19 Nebraska 40-10; Lost to #4 Wisconsin 17-9, #9 Penn State 41-14, Northwestern 38-31 and North Dakota State 23-21
North Carolina (8-4) lost to North Carolina State 28-21; Biggest Win: #23 Florida State 37-35; Lost to #22 Virginia Tech 34-3, Georgia 33-24, North Carolina State 28-21 and Duke 28-27
Troy (9-2) trounced Texas State 40-7; Biggest Win:  Southern Mississippi 37-31 or Appalachian State 28-24; Lost to #5 Clemson 30-24 and Arkansas State 35-3

No comments:

Post a Comment