Saturday, November 19, 2016

Blue Through and Through Rankings--Week 12

Only four of the Blue Through and Through Top 25 teams lost, and one of those was to another Top 25 team.  

After Louisville pleaded "No Contest" to Houston this week in a 36-10 defeat, both teams have two losses.  Blue Through and Through was the only service to rank Houston last week; logic usually wins out in these kind of things, and we saw that play out in the lopsided Cougar win.  Any ranking you see this week that doesn't have Houston ranked ahead of Louisville you should ignore, for it is not paying attention to the facts.  Ditto for any ranking that doesn't have Houston ahead of Oklahoma, since the Cougars handled the Sooners pretty easily.  Also for any ranking that doesn't have Navy ahead of Houston (due to their win over Houston) and that doesn't have South Florida ahead of Navy (due to their head-to-head win over Navy).  

Oklahoma now has a win over a Top 25 team.  Some polls have them in the Top 10, which is totally undeserving.  And, as pointed out above, if Oklahoma is #9, Houston should be #8, Navy should be #7 and South Florida should be #6.  Those teams don't deserve high rankings either, which by definition means that Oklahoma is about 10-15 spots too high.

Troy was dropped from the list after a devastating loss to Arkansas State.  They're a good example, though, of how you can't automatically say that an 8-1 team doesn't deserve to be highly ranked, even though they didn't have a big win.  Now that they had that second loss (the only other defeat was a six-point loss to #3 Clemson), that bad loss sends them tumbling.

Clemson had the most to lose this week with teams representing two of their biggest wins (Louisville and Troy) suffering blowout losses.

Right now, the top conference is the Big Ten, with three of the top four teams.  This is not necessarily because of their OOC strength, although all three of those own wins over a top team from other conferences, but because teams below them are just weaker.

Boise State suffered a bit when Washington State lost, but it was to a ranked team, while BYU is now under the "other teams considered" list.

The polls have USC ranked high with three losses.  However, Washington State has to be ranked ahead of Stanford because of a win over the Cardinal, and Utah and Stanford have to be ranked ahead of USC because they both beat the Trojans.  Since none of those teams have the resume to be ranked, USC cannot be either.  Teams aren't ranked by their five or six-game record, but by their entire 11-game record.




(Note:  the rankings are based on logic rather than hype or potential.  Teams with the same record are judged by their biggest wins and their losses, if any.  Impressive wins over Top 25 teams are more important than other wins, and losses to Top 25 teams hurt far less than other losses.

The "Biggest Win" refers to the highest-ranked win; generally, only ranked teams and teams being considered are listed.  Sometimes, as in the case of Western Michigan, they don't have a win over teams in these rankings, and it is unknown at this time which of their listed wins is the biggest.)

1-1    Alabama (11-0) clipped Chattanooga 31-3; Biggest Wins: #11 Texas A&M 33-14, #15 Tennessee 49-10, #23 LSU 10-0 and #24 Arkansas 49-30
2-2    Ohio State (10-1) squeaked by Michigan State 17-16; Biggest Wins: #4 Wisconsin 30-23 in overtime, #9 Nebraska 62-3 and #19 Oklahoma 45-24; Lost to #8 Penn State 24-21
5-3   Michigan (10-1) got by Indiana 20-10; Biggest Wins: #4 Wisconsin 14-7, #8 Penn State 49-10 and #16 Colorado 45-28; Lost to Iowa 14-13
6-4   Wisconsin (9-2) waltzed past Purdue 49-20; Biggest Wins:  #9 Nebraska 23-17 in overtime and #23 LSU 16-14; Lost to  #2 Ohio State 30-23 in overtime and #3 Michigan 14-7
3-5   Clemson (10-1) wrecked Wake Forest's day 35-13; Biggest Wins: #12 Auburn 19-13, #20 Louisville 42-36 and Florida State 37-34; Lost to Pittsburgh 43-42
7-6   Washington (10-1) pounded Arizona State 44-18; Biggest Win: Utah 31-24; Lost to USC 26-13
8-7   Western Michigan (11-0) overcame a sluggish start to shut out hapless Buffalo 38-0; Biggest Win: Northwestern 22-21 or Eastern Michigan 45-31
10-8 Penn State (9-2)  shut out Rutgers 39-0; Biggest Win:  #2 Ohio State 24-21; Lost to #3 Michigan 49-10 and Pittsburgh 42-39
13-9  Nebraska (9-2) downed Maryland 28-7; Biggest Win: Wyoming 52-17; Lost to #2 Ohio State 62-3 and #4 Wisconsin 23-17 in overtime
11-10 Boise State (10-1) ran over UNLV 42-25; Biggest Wins:  Washington State 31-28 and BYU 28-27; Lost to Wyoming 30-28
14-11   Texas A&M (8-3) tripped Texas San Antonio 23-10; Biggest Wins: #12 Auburn 29-16, #15 Tennessee 45-38 in two overtimes and #24 Arkansas 45-24; Lost to #1 Alabama 33-14, Mississippi 29-28 and Mississippi State 35-28
15-12 Auburn (8-3) blanked Alabama A&M 55-0; Biggest Wins:  #23 LSU 18-13 and #24 Arkansas 56-3 ; Lost to #5 Clemson 19-13, #11 Texas A&M 29-16 and Georgia 13-7
19-13 Florida (8-2) used a last-second goal line stand to beat #24 LSU 16-10; Biggest Wins: #24 LSU 16-10 and Georgia 24-10; Lost to #15 Tennessee 38-28 and #24 Arkansas 31-10
21-14 South Florida (9-2) prevailed over SMU 35-27; Biggest Win: #17 Navy 52-45; Lost to Florida State 55-35 and Temple 46-30
20-15 Tennessee (8-3) sent Missouri tumbling 63-37; Biggest Wins: #13 Florida 38-28 and #25 Virginia Tech 45-24; Lost to #1 Alabama 49-10, #11 Texas A&M 45-38 in 2 OT's and South Carolina 24-21
25-16 Colorado (9-2) put away Washington State late 38-24; Biggest Win:  Washington State 38-24; Lost to #3 Michigan 45-28 and USC 21-17
22-17 Navy (8-2) destroyed East Carolina 66-31; Biggest Win:  #18 Houston 45-40; Lost to #14 South Florida 52-45 and Air Force 28-14 
23-18 Houston (9-2) thrashed #20 Louisville 36-10; Biggest Wins: #19 Oklahoma 33-23 and #20 Louisville; Lost to #17 Navy 45-40 and SMU 38-16
24-19 Oklahoma (8-2) clobbered #22 West Virginia 56-28:  Biggest Win:  #22 West Virginia 55-28; Lost to #2 Ohio State 45-24 and #18 Houston 33-23
4-20  Louisville (9-2) was slaughtered by #18 Houston 36-10; Biggest Win: Florida State 63-20; Lost to #5 Clemson 42-36 and #18 Houston 36-10
17-21 Oklahoma State (7-2) ripped TCU 31-6; Biggest Win:  #22 West Virginia 37-20; Lost to Baylor 35-24 and Central Michigan 30-27
9-22  West Virginia (8-2) was outclassed by #19 Oklahoma 56-28; Biggest Win: BYU 35-32; Lost to #19 Oklahoma 56-28 and #21 Oklahoma State 37-20
18-23 LSU (6-4) fell to #13 Florida 16-10; Biggest Win:  #24 Arkansas 38-10;  Lost to #1 Alabama 10-0, #4 Wisconsin 16-14, #12 Auburn 18-13 and #13 Florida 16-10 
-----24 Arkansas (7-4) outscored Mississippi State 58-42; Biggest Win:  #13 Florida 31-10; Lost to #1 Alabama 49-30, #11 Texas A&M 45-24, #12 Auburn 56-3 and #23 LSU 38-10
-----25 Virginia Tech (8-3) came from behind to beat Notre Dame 34-31;  Biggest Win:  North Carolina 34-3; Lost to #15 Tennessee 45-24, Georgia Tech 30-20 and Syracuse 31-17



Dropped Out:  Utah, Troy


Also Considered:

North Carolina (8-3) took care of The Citadel 41-7; Biggest Win: Florida State 37-35; Lost to #25 Virginia Tech 34-3, Georgia 33-24 and Duke 28-27
Florida State (8-3) whipped Syracuse 45-14; Biggest Win:  #14 South Florida 55-35; Lost to #5 Clemson 37-34, #20 Louisville 63-20 and North Carolina 37-35
Washington State (8-3) lost to #16 Colorado 38-24; Biggest Win:  Stanford 42-16; Lost to #10 Boise State 31-28, #16 Colorado 38-24 and Eastern Washington 45-42
Stanford (8-3) stopped California 45-31; Biggest Win:  USC 27-10; blown out by #6 Washington 44-6 and Washington State 42-16 and lost to #16 Colorado 10-5
Utah (8-3) was upset by Oregon 30-28; Biggest Win: USC 31-27; Lost to #6 Washington 31-24, Oregon 30-28 and California 28-23
USC (8-3) upended UCLA 36-14; Biggest Wins:  #6 Washington 26-13 and #16 Colorado 21-17; Lost to #1 Alabama 52-6, Utah 31-27 and Stanford 27-10 
Wyoming (8-3) held on for a 34-33 win over San Diego State when the Aztecs went for a two-point conversion ; Biggest Win:  #10 Boise State 30-28; Lost to #9 Nebraska 52-17, Eastern Michigan 27-24 and UNLV 69-66 in three overtimes
BYU (7-4) bashed Massachusetts 51-9; Biggest Win:  Toledo 55-53; Lost to #11 Boise State 28-27, #22 West Virginia 35-32, #25 Utah 20-19 and UCLA 17-14
Troy (8-2) was pounded by Arkansas State 35-3; Biggest Win:  Southern Mississippi 37-31 or Appalachian State 28-24; Lost to #5 Clemson 30-24 and Arkansas State 35-3
San Diego State (9-2) lost a heartbreaker to Wyoming 34-33; Biggest Win: California 45-40 or Utah State 40-13; Lost to Wyoming 34-33 and South Alabama 42-24

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