Sunday, November 17, 2013

Path Clears for Alabama-Florida State Matchup, Boise State Now Moves Into Consideration

The #1 factor in ranking teams is their Biggest Wins, losses are most damaging if they are to unranked teams.  This encourages teams to schedule other Top 25 teams.

This poll had Clemson, UCLA, Auburn and Michigan State ranked before anyone else "in the know".  And, everyone now knows how solid those four teams are.  

USC's upset win (although not really, the way they have been playing since they fired Kifford), moves them into the Top 25 and makes it an easy path to the mythical national championship for Alabama and Florida State.  Boise State's three losses look legitimate, although they lack a big win.  However, they moved past Washington for consideration, as the Huskies have gotten worse as the season has gone on.  BYU, Texas and Boise State all have the same records, but BYU heat both of those teams and has to be on top of both.  Boise State will always be ranked ahead of a Pac-12 or Big 12 team with the same record because those two conferences stubbornly refused Boise State's request to join their conferences.

Unlike the polls, the Blue Football Through and Through Top 25 uses logic.  Mississippi must be ahead of LSU because both teams have the same record and the Rebels beat the Tigers.  The polls seem to forget the actual results.  We don't.

The SEC has eight teams in the Top 25, while the Pac-12 has five.  Those are (by far) the top two conferences in the nation this year.

1-1.    Alabama (10-0) stopped Mississippi State 20-7, Biggest Wins over #7 Texas A&M, #16 Mississippi and #23 LSU
2-2.    Florida State (10-0) steamrolled Syracuse 59-3, Biggest Wins over #11 Clemson
4-3.    Oregon (9-1) rocked Utah 44-21, Biggest Win over #9 UCLA and Washington, Lost to #6 Stanford
5-4.    Auburn (10-1) won a thriller over Georgia 43-38, Biggest Wins over #7 Texas A&M, #16 Mississippi and Georgia, lost to #23 LSU
9-5.    Baylor (9-0) ran it up on Texas Tech 63-34, Biggest Win over #19 Oklahoma
3-6.    Stanford (8-2) was upset on the road by #24 USC, Biggest Wins over #3 Oregon, #9 UCLA, #20 Arizona State and Washington, Lost to #24 USC and Utah
6-7.    Texas A&M (8-2) was idle, Biggest Win over #15 Mississippi, Lost to #1 Alabama and #4 Auburn
10-8.  Ohio State (10-0) outscored Illinois 60-35, Biggest Win over #21 Wisconsin
8-9.    UCLA (8-2) downed Washington 41-31, Biggest Win over Washington, Lost to #3 Oregon and #6 Stanford
7-10.    Missouri (9-1) did not play, Biggest Win over Georgia, Lost to #13 South Carolina
11-11.  Clemson (9-1) creamed Georgia Tech 55-31, Biggest Win over Georgia, Lost to #2 Florida State
13-12.  Michigan State (9-1) defeated Nebraska 41-28, Biggest Win over Michigan, Lost to Notre Dame
12-13.  South Carolina (8-2) tipped Florida 19-14, Biggest Wins over #7 Missouri and #15 UCF, Lost to #23 Georgia and Tennessee
14-14.  Fresno State (9-0) was idle this week, Biggest Win over Boise State 
15-15.  UCF (8-1) squeaked by Temple 39-36, Biggest Win over #18 Louisville, Lost to #13 South Carolina
16-16.  Mississippi (7-3) put down Troy 51-21, Biggest Wins over #23 LSU and Texas, Lost to #1 Alabama, #4 Auburn and #7 Texas A&M
22-17.  Northern Illinois (10-0) turned back Ball State 48-28, Biggest Win over Ball State
17-18.  Louisville (9-1) held down Houston 20-13, Biggest Win over Houston, Lost to #15 UCF
19-19. Oklahoma (8-2) whipped Iowa State 48-10, Biggest Win over Texas Tech, Lost to #5 Baylor and  Texas
20-20.  Arizona State (8-2) took care of Oregon State 30-17, Biggest Win over Washington, Lost to #6 Stanford and Notre Dame
25-21.    Wisconsin (8-2) made mincemeat of Indiana 51-3, Biggest Win over BYU,  Lost to #8 Ohio State and #20 Arizona State
21-22.  Oklahoma State (9-1) rocked up & down Texas 38-13, Biggest Win over Texas, Lost to West Virginia
24-23.    LSU (7-3) did not play, Biggest Win over #4 Auburn, Lost to #1 Alabama, #16 Mississippi and Georgia
---24.    USC (8-3) shocked #6 Stanford 20-17, Biggest Win over #6 Stanford, Lost to #20 Arizona State, Notre Dame and Washington State
---25.    Vanderbilt (6-4) beat Kentucky 22-6, Biggest Win over Georgia, Lost to Texas A&M, Missouri, South Carolina and #16 Mississippi

Dropped Out:  Georgia, Texas

Also Considered:
23-out Georgia (6-4) nearly upset #5 Auburn before falling 43-38, Biggest Wins over #12 South Carolina and #24 LSU, Lost to #5 Auburn, #7 Missouri, #11 Clemson and Vanderbilt

BYU (7-3) had no problem with Idaho State 59-13, Biggest wins over #18 Texas and Georgia Tech, Lost to #25 Wisconsin, Utah and Virginia

18-out  Texas (7-3) lost to #20 Oklahoma State 38-13, Biggest Win over #19 Oklahoma, Lost to #16 Mississippi, #20 Oklahoma State and BYU

Boise State (7-3) ran over Wyoming 48-7, Biggest win over Utah State, Lost to #15 Fresno State, Washington and BYU

Washington (6-4) lost to #8 UCLA 41-31, Biggest Win over Boise State, Lost to #2 Oregon, #3 Stanford, #8 UCLA and #18 Arizona State

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