Sunday, October 21, 2012

Early BCS Projections

201374_Sportsman's Guide
Based on actual Sagarin ratings, projected ratings of the other five computers, and estimated poll numbers, here is the morning line on the BCS Projections.  These will be updated as data is released.

Note:  Oklahoma and Oregon State will be very close; I gave the nod to the Sooners by virtue of a more impressive win which should bear out in the polls.  Mississippi State, South Carolina and Rutgers are also extremely tight; I moved Rutgers to 12 because of South Carolina's loss, but it will be close.  A&M and Cincy hang in because the top contenders to move into the Top 25 all lost, except for Toledo, which of course beat Cincinnati.  We look at information like that, but most voters will likely not move Toledo high enough to get past Cincy.  Makes no sense.

1.    Alabama
2.    Florida
3.    Kansas State
4.    Notre Dame
5.    Oregon
6.    LSU
7.    Oklahoma
8.    Oregon State
9.    USC
10.  Georgia
11.  Mississippi State
12.  Rutgers
13.  South Carolina
14.  Texas Tech
15.  Louisville
16.  Florida State
17.  Clemson
18.  Stanford
19.  Boise State
20.  Michigan
21.  Texas
22.  West Virginia
23.  Ohio
24.  Texas A&M
25.  Cincinnati

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