Sunday, October 21, 2012

Remaining Schedules for Teams Ranked #10 and Below


This is an update of last week's post, but for fun, be sure to check out that and the predicted final ranking and predicted final record to see how accurate it was.

Note:  The number shown prior to each team is the current ranking of each team.  The teams are shown in order of the final Colley computer rating, based on Sagarin's Predictor rating of how the rest of their season will go.  I have included #10 Georgia because they are just a few points ahead of #11 Mississippi State in the Projected BCS Standings, well within the margin of error.  I have also included Cincinnati, which some projections have in today's Top 25, as well as Northern Illinois, which Sagarin has winning out.

The significant changes since last week were brought about by three upsets:  Toledo over Cincinnati, LSU over Texas A&M and Texas Tech over TCU.  In addition to the effects those losses had on the ranked losers, the Cincinnati loss also affected Rutgers, which Sagarin now predicts will go undefeated (previously, Cincinnati was their only predicted loss.)

The below doesn't assume that Michigan, for example, will finish 10th, because some in the Top 10 may lose.  What it does indicate is that, for teams ranked #10 and below, Michigan is predicted to finish the highest in Final Colley Rating.  It also shows that, for Boise State to finish #12 in Colley, the Broncos need six teams to lose that otherwise are predicted to win.



#21 Michigan:
at Nebraska
at Minnesota
vs. Northwestern
vs. Iowa
at Ohio State
vs. Ohio State in Big Ten Championship


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  94.07
Sagarin predicted final record:  11-2



#12 Rutgers:
vs. Kent State
vs. Army
at Cincinnati
at Pittsburgh
vs. Louisville

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  88.44
Sagarin predicted final record:  12-0





#16 South Carolina:
vs. Tennessee
at Arkansas
vs. Wofford
at Clemson


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  87.19
Sagarin predicted final record:  10-2



#17 Stanford:
vs. Washington State
at Colorado
vs. Oregon State
at Oregon
at UCLA

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds: 84.37
Sagarin predicted final record:  9-3



#13 Texas Tech:
at Kansas State
vs. Texas
vs. Kansas
at Oklahoma State
at Baylor

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  84.29
Sagarin predicted final record:  10-2



#21 Texas A&M:
at Auburn
at Mississippi State
at Alabama
vs. Sam Houston State
vs. Missouri

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  81.87
Sagarin predicted final record:  9-3



#15 Louisville:
vs. Cincinnati
vs. Temple
at Syracuse
vs. Connecticut
at Rutgers

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  81.14
Sagarin predicted final record:  11-1



#14 Florida State:
vs. Duke
at Virginia Tech
at Maryland
vs. Florida
vs. North Carolina in ACC Championship

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  79.02
Sagarin predicted final record:  11-2


#18 Boise State:
at Wyoming
vs. San Diego State
at Hawai'i
vs. Colorado State
at Nevada

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  78.54
Sagarin predicted final record:  11-1


#32 Northern Illinois:
at Western Michigan
vs. Massachusetts
vs. Toledo
at Eastern Michigan
vs. Kent State in MAC Championship


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  78.41
Sagarin predicted final record:  12-1



#18 Clemson:
at Wake Forest
at Duke
vs. Maryland
vs. North Carolina State
vs. South Carolina

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds: 76.70
Sagarin predicted final record:  10-2




#10 Georgia:
vs. Florida
vs. Mississippi
at Auburn
vs. Georgia Southern
vs. Georgia Tech

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  76.62
Sagarin predicted final record:  10-2


#24 Ohio:
at Miami of Ohio
vs. Eastern Michigan
vs. Bowling Green
at Ball State
at Kent State


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds: 73.72
Sagarin predicted final record:  11-1



#11 Mississippi State:
at Alabama
vs. Texas A&M
at LSU
vs. Arkansas
at Mississippi

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  72.55
Sagarin predicted final record:  8-3


#22 Texas:
at Kansas
at Texas Tech
vs. Iowa State
vs. TCU
at Kansas State


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  72.11
Sagarin predicted final record:  8-4



#29 Cincinnati:
at Louisville
vs. Syracuse
at Temple
vs. Rutgers
vs. South Florida
at Connecticut

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  71.48
Sagarin predicted final record:  10-2



#23 West Virginia:
vs. TCU
at Oklahoma State
vs. Oklahoma
at Iowa State
vs. Kansas

Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  60.46
Sagarin predicted final record:  6-6


#27 TCU:
at Oklahoma State
vs. West Virginia
vs. Kansas State
at Texas
vs. Oklahoma


Predicted Colley final computer rating using Sagarin Predictor odds:  59.03
Sagarin predicted final record:  6-6

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